Why is forecasting so hard?

Hacker News

Hey HN folks -- I am a graduate student exploring the space of time-series forecasting. I wrote a Colab notebook to highlight the challenges in forecasting: what makes it difficult, and how standardized forecasting accuracy metrics can be misleading. I used the newly introduced EvaDB's forecasting methods ( https://evadb.readthedocs.io/en/stable/source/reference/ai/m... ) and took on an SQL-like approach to perform forecasting. Would love to hear your thoughts :) Thanks for your time! Link to the notebook: https://colab.research.google.com/drive/1Guc04LGZ9ugdysucgVC...

Visit product View on Hacker NewsNov 24, 2023

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3points

Did not reach leaderboard

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Incorrect prediction on native model

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