Show HN: What Actually Gets Upvoted (41,828 Posts Analyzed)
Show HN data analysis of 41,828 posts: power-law distribution, title patterns, technical authenticity, first-hour velocity, and an 8-step playbook.
Show HN is the highest-reach free launch channel for technical products, but the success rate is brutal. Only 1.77% of Show HN posts reach 100+ points. 35.01% of Show HN posts never receive a second vote beyond the submitter's. Daniel King's April 2026 analysis of 188,085 posts found the median score is 2 points. Our full dataset contains 150,764 Hacker News posts, of which 5,973 crossed the 100-point threshold. This guide covers what separates the posts that break out from the thousands that disappear.
Your title is the single highest-leverage element. HN readers scan titles in a feed of 30+ new submissions per hour. Titles that work are 50-70 characters, name the specific technology or problem, and avoid marketing language.
Our Hacker News model's top positive signals include "open source," technical terms like "sqlite," "graphql," and "haskell," and phrases like "just released." These reflect what the HN community actually upvotes: concrete technical work, not product pitches.
The first comment is your real pitch. HN culture expects the submitter to post a detailed comment explaining what they built, why, and what they learned. This comment matters more than the linked landing page.
Include a link to source code, documentation, or a technical blog post when possible. Our model weights "https docs" and "open source" as strong positive signals because they indicate genuine technical substance.
This is the single strongest predictor of Show HN success in our model. Posts written like product launch announcements fail. Posts written like technical blog posts succeed.
Words that correlate with high-traction posts: "open source," "filesystem," "ide," "lua," "nginx," "sqlite." Words that correlate with failure: "excited," "game-changer," "disrupt," "passionate." The pattern is clear: specificity beats enthusiasm.
See how your description scores across Product Hunt, Hacker News, Indie Hackers, AppSumo, BetaList, TrustMRR, and Acquire.com.
Check your Show HN scoreLaunchPact analyzed 979 launches and found Tuesday through Thursday, 9am-12pm EST, produce the highest median upvote counts. This aligns with when US-based developers are active and the HN front page has fewer competing submissions.
Avoid weekends, US holidays, and major tech news days (Apple events, large conference keynotes). Your post competes for attention with everything else on the front page.
HN ranking is heavily influenced by early upvote velocity. Posts that reach 15+ points in the first 90 minutes have a significantly higher chance of reaching the front page. After two hours, momentum rarely accelerates.
Do not ask for upvotes directly. HN moderators flag vote solicitation and it can get your post penalized. Instead, notify a small group of genuine users who would find the project interesting.
A successful Show HN post sends a traffic spike that lasts 24-48 hours, then drops sharply. Founders who treat this as a sustained acquisition channel are disappointed. Founders who treat it as a validation and email collection event do well.
Prepare your infrastructure before posting. A front-page HN post can send 10,000-50,000 visitors in a few hours. Server crashes during the spike waste the entire launch.
The Launch Intel Hacker News model was trained on 150,764 posts with a balanced split: 47.2% high-traction, 52.8% low-traction. Average prediction probability is 49.4%. The model evaluates text features and evaluates only your title and description text.
It cannot see your GitHub stars, prior HN karma, or posting history. A first-time poster with a well-written technical description can score as high as a serial HN launcher.
Score your description across Product Hunt, Hacker News, Indie Hackers, AppSumo, BetaList, TrustMRR, and Acquire.com. Trained on 256,000+ real launches.
Check your Show HN score35.01% of Show HN posts never receive a second vote beyond the submitter's
Analysis of 188,085 HN posts: median 2 points, top 6% at 50+, ~1.4 GitHub stars per upvote
Official Show HN rules: personally built, try-able products, "Show HN:" title prefix required
Community etiquette, downvote triggers, and posting timing guidance
Show HN data analysis of 41,828 posts: power-law distribution, title patterns, technical authenticity, first-hour velocity, and an 8-step playbook.
Compare 7 launch platforms: Product Hunt, Show HN, AppSumo, Indie Hackers, BetaList, Acquire.com, and TrustMRR. Find the right fit for your product.
Launch Intel methodology: how we predict product launch success from text alone, trained on 256k+ real outcomes across seven platforms.