State of Indie Launches 2026: Data From 256,000+ Real Outcomes
Annual data report on indie product launches: 208,072 real outcomes across 7 platforms, success rates, and what winning descriptions have in common.
Choosing the wrong launch platform is one of the most expensive mistakes a founder can make. You get one primary launch moment, and each platform rewards different product types, description styles, and success metrics. Launch Intel scores your description against all seven platforms simultaneously. This guide explains what each platform is for, who it reaches, and when to use it.
Launch advice focuses on tactics: timing, hunter selection, upvote strategies. Platform fit matters more. A developer CLI tool launched on Product Hunt will underperform the same tool launched on Show HN, regardless of tactics.
Our multi-platform scorer exists because founders consistently misidentify their best platform. In our examples, the same description scores 92% on Product Hunt and 23% on Hacker News, or vice versa. The description is identical. The platform fit is not.
See how your description scores across Product Hunt, Hacker News, Indie Hackers, AppSumo, BetaList, TrustMRR, and Acquire.com.
Score on all 7 platforms at onceBest for: consumer apps, productivity tools, AI products with clear user-facing value. Audience: tech enthusiasts, early adopters, press. Success metric: daily leaderboard placement. Dataset: 5,889 posts, 44.0% reach leaderboard.
Wrong for: developer infrastructure, pre-revenue experiments, B2B enterprise tools, products without a polished UI.
Best for: open source projects, developer tools, technical blog posts, infrastructure software. Audience: software engineers, technical founders. Success metric: 100+ points (1.77% of posts). Dataset: 150,764 posts.
Wrong for: consumer apps, marketing-heavy products, non-technical founders without a technical co-founder to write the first comment.
Best for: SaaS products with existing traction seeking a customer acquisition burst via lifetime deals. Audience: deal-seeking entrepreneurs, small business owners. Success metric: featured deal (<3% acceptance). Dataset: 2,459 deals.
Wrong for: pre-revenue products, products with subscription-only economics, enterprise tools.
Analysis of 771 AppSumo deals found average gross revenue of $5,917 per deal, with founders keeping approximately $1,775 after AppSumo's revenue share. The math works as a customer acquisition channel, not as primary revenue.
Best for: bootstrapped SaaS with revenue to share, founders building in public. Audience: indie founders, solopreneurs. Success metric: community upvotes and engagement. Dataset: 36,099 products, 30.9% with revenue.
Wrong for: VC-backed startups, products without revenue story, founders unwilling to share numbers.
A 2025 survey of 387 launches found Indie Hackers converting at 23.1% versus Product Hunt's 3.1%, though the dataset is small. IH's audience is self-selected for genuine interest in revenue-generating products.
Best for: products in alpha or beta needing early adopters and feedback. Audience: tech early adopters. Success metric: signup conversion (15-20% for featured). Dataset: 1,400 startups, 84.7% listing-ready.
Wrong for: fully launched products, products seeking revenue (not feedback).
Acquire.com is for selling your business, not launching it. Best for: revenue-generating SaaS seeking acquisition ($5k+ MRR). Dataset: 1,172 listings, 10% revenue-generating. TrustMRR is for verifying revenue, not launching. Best for: any startup wanting credible, public MRR verification.
These are not launch platforms. They are infrastructure platforms that support launches on other channels by providing credibility.
Launch Intel scores your description on all seven platforms simultaneously at launchintel.pro. Paste your product name, tagline, and description. Get probability scores, top matching words, and missing signals for each platform.
Use the scorer to identify your primary platform (highest score) and secondary platforms (scores above 50%). Launch on your primary platform first. Follow up on secondary platforms 2-4 weeks later with platform-specific copy adjustments.
Score your description across Product Hunt, Hacker News, Indie Hackers, AppSumo, BetaList, TrustMRR, and Acquire.com. Trained on 256,000+ real launches.
Score on all 7 platforms at oncePH converts 1-2%, Show HN converts 5-12%, BetaList high-intent but low volume
Analysis of 771 AppSumo deals: avg $5,917 gross revenue, $1,775 founder take after revenue share
Survey of 387 launches: IH 23.1% conversion vs PH 3.1% (small sample)
5-platform 90-day stack: BetaList first, then PH, Show HN, directories, micro-launchpad
Annual data report on indie product launches: 208,072 real outcomes across 7 platforms, success rates, and what winning descriptions have in common.
The complete Product Hunt launch guide for 2026: how to win product of the day, optimize your thumbnail, logo, and banner, write a founder story that drives upvotes, and what 25,636 real launches taught our ML model.
Practical Show HN guide backed by 41,828 posts: title formulas, timing, first-comment strategy, and what Hacker News actually upvotes. Covers dev tools, software launches, founder stories, and how to hit the front page on YCombinator.