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Probabilistic hierarchical forecasting with statistical methods

Hacker News

Probabilistic hierarchical forecasting with statistical methods

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Actual performance

2points
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
79%79% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
45%45% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
44%44% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
41%41% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
34%34% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
27%27% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
18%18% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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