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Biden vs. Trump statistical forecast model: polling and search trends

Hacker News

Biden vs. Trump statistical forecast model: polling and search trends

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BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
73%73% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: model · Missing: mac, agents, macos
58%58% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Strong signals: ide · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
53%53% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
46%46% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
32%32% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
32%32% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
12%12% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Incorrect prediction on native model

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