Actual performance
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Launch Intel predictions
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Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: apple, chatgpt · Missing: mac, agents, macos92%92% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Strong signals: chat · Missing: web3, crypto, cryptocurrency70%70% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting64%64% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal46%46% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released35%35% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Strong signals: builder · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive31%31% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue21%21% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Incorrect prediction on native model
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