Actual performance
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Launch Intel predictions
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Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: perplexity, chatgpt, gemini · Missing: mac, agents, macos84%84% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Strong signals: gemini · Missing: supports, created, podcasting68%68% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, just like, small businesses60%60% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: reviews, intuitive, videos35%35% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, just released, open source25%25% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: api, 000, profitable22%22% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue13%13% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Incorrect prediction on native model
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