Actual performance
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Launch Intel predictions
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BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto75%75% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: code · Missing: mac, agents, macos71%71% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
TrustMRRFits verified-revenue profile · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal54%54% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released37%37% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Strong signals: builder · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive32%32% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue27%27% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting26%26% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Incorrect prediction on native model
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