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Actual performance

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Launch Intel predictions

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BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
66%66% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: code · Missing: mac, agents, macos
64%64% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Strong signals: ide · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
45%45% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
38%38% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
30%30% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
27%27% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
19%19% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Incorrect prediction on native model

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