Convert or Not

Convert or Not

Product Hunt

Simulate first-time users. See why they drop off

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Actual performance

165upvotes
36comments
Made the leaderboard

Traction signals

Makers1

Launch Intel predictions

Analyze your own launch →
Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
58%58% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: user · Missing: mac, agents, macos
58%58% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
47%47% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Strong signals: users · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
44%44% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Strong signals: users · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
33%33% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
22%22% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
21%21% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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