Actual performance
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Launch Intel predictions
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Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: mac, macos, open · Missing: agents, agent, cursor78%78% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Strong signals: open source · Missing: https docs, excited, just released61%61% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto41%41% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal34%34% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting25%25% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive22%22% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue18%18% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Incorrect prediction on native model
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