Actual performance
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Launch Intel predictions
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Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: chatgpt · Missing: mac, agents, macos56%56% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
AppSumoStrong fit for a featured deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive53%53% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal43%43% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Strong signals: chat · Missing: web3, crypto, cryptocurrency40%40% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released36%36% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting30%30% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue18%18% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Incorrect prediction on native model
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