Victory Road Macro
Indie HackersOne macro thesis a day. Named, falsifiable, graded in public
Victory Road Macro is the daily regime read from the desk at Victory Road Capital Management — the same framework we use to run capital. One thesis, the levels that matter, and the discipline of grading every call in pub
Share cardActual performance
Did not reach leaderboard
Launch Intel predictions
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Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Missing: https docs, excited, just released67%67% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting53%53% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto45%45% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal44%44% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive31%31% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: mac · Missing: agents, macos, agent30%30% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue21%21% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Incorrect prediction on native model
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