TrueOdds

TrueOdds

Indie Hackers

Polymarket , Trading, Analytics

I trade on Polymarket. I built TrueOdds for myself first. I was sick of spending hours researching markets one by one to figure out which ones were mispriced. So I built a fair value engine, added smart money tracking

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Actual performance

Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

Analyze your own launch →
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
47%47% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Strong signals: trading · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
45%45% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
44%44% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
35%35% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
24%24% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
20%20% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Strong signals: smart · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
14%14% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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