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Indie Hackers

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Actual performance

Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
54%54% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRFits verified-revenue profile · Strong signals: entrepreneurs · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
51%51% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
51%51% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
49%49% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
35%35% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
32%32% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
17%17% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Incorrect prediction on native model

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TrustMRRSoftware