The Psychology of Winning and Losing

The Psychology of Winning and Losing

Indie Hackers

The Psychology of Winning and Losing

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Actual performance

Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
86%86% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
AppSumoStrong fit for a featured deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
53%53% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
48%48% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
44%44% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
32%32% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
24%24% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
16%16% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.

Correct prediction on native model

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