Stakes

Stakes

Indie Hackers

Productivity app with social and financial commitments

Building a habit is still tedious and existing tools don't help. Putting something at stake makes people be more cautious of their goals.

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Actual performance

2followers
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Strong signals: exist, existing, io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
58%58% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
43%43% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
42%42% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
39%39% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
28%28% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
19%19% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
1%1% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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