Small Bets

Small Bets

Indie Hackers

A support network ready to help you get your first small win

Small Bets was created by [Daniel Vassallo](https://x.com/dvassallo).

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Actual performance

Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

Analyze your own launch →
TrustMRRFits verified-revenue profile · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
57%57% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
37%37% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Strong signals: created · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
32%32% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
31%31% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
18%18% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
15%15% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
3%3% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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