PolyGuess
Indie HackersFree play-money prediction game for Taiwan, odds mirror Pol
Prediction markets like Polymarket are the best real-time gauge of what people actually believe, but Taiwanese users can't legally trade on them, and the questions are rarely about Taiwan anyway. I built PolyGuess so peo
Share cardActual performance
Did not reach leaderboard
Launch Intel predictions
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TrustMRRFits verified-revenue profile · Strong signals: users, way · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal62%62% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Strong signals: io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released54%54% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting50%50% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Strong signals: users · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive48%48% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: user · Missing: mac, agents, macos32%32% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue19%19% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto2%2% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Correct prediction on native model
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