Mtgthing

Mtgthing

Indie Hackers

Magic the Gathering Deck power level estimate

I'm working on MTGThing because I saw a need for a more precise and accessible way to assess Commander (EDH) deck power levels. Existing tools, like those on Moxfield and Archidekt, have vague assessments.

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Actual performance

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Launch Intel predictions

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Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Strong signals: exist, existing, ide · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
54%54% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
48%48% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
41%41% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Strong signals: way · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
36%36% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
35%35% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
11%11% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
3%3% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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