Market Curve

Market Curve

Indie Hackers

Weekly newsletter on user psychology.

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Actual performance

Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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TrustMRRFits verified-revenue profile · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
59%59% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
45%45% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: user, new · Missing: mac, agents, macos
38%38% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
35%35% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
34%34% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
13%13% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
11%11% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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