Lenny's Newsletter

Lenny's Newsletter

Indie Hackers

A weekly advice column about product, growth, and careers

Lenny's Newsletter was created by [Lenny Rachitsky](https://x.com/lennysan).

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Actual performance

Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

Analyze your own launch →
TrustMRRFits verified-revenue profile · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
56%56% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Strong signals: created · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
37%37% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
33%33% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
30%30% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Strong signals: growth · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
17%17% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: new · Missing: mac, agents, macos
11%11% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
3%3% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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