How We Grow

How We Grow

Indie Hackers

A look under the hood of the dynamics that drive growth

One thing that never stopped to fascinate me is that no matter how different products are, they are all governed by the same growth dynamics.

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Actual performance

2followers
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
41%41% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
35%35% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
30%30% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
30%30% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
29%29% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Strong signals: growth · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
23%23% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
20%20% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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