ForgeDrops

ForgeDrops

Indie Hackers

A new business to build every week.

ForgeDrops started with a graveyard. A folder on my desktop full of half-started businesses. Each one died the same way — not from lack of skills, not from lack of motivation, but from the weeks of research that had t

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Actual performance

Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: new · Missing: mac, agents, macos
58%58% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
TrustMRRFits verified-revenue profile · Strong signals: way · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
52%52% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Strong signals: started · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
51%51% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Strong signals: io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
36%36% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
33%33% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
19%19% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
1%1% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Incorrect prediction on native model

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