Ephemerata

Ephemerata

Indie Hackers

A weekly-ish digest of links, ideas, learnings, and sounds.

I’m doing this to stimulate discussion around what I find interesting and also to share things before they disappear into the void of my journal.

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Actual performance

1followers
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

Analyze your own launch →
Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Strong signals: ide, io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
53%53% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
44%44% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
39%39% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
33%33% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
22%22% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
21%21% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
18%18% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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