Ephemerata
A weekly-ish digest of links, ideas, learnings, and sounds.
I’m doing this to stimulate discussion around what I find interesting and also to share things before they disappear into the void of my journal.
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Launch Intel predictions
Analyze your own launch →53%53% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
44%44% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
39%39% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
33%33% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
22%22% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
21%21% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
18%18% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Correct prediction on native model
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