Break Even ROAS Calculator

Break Even ROAS Calculator

Indie Hackers

Stop scaling your losses. Find your waterline.

In 2026, the e-commerce landscape is dominated by complex advertising algorithms. Most sellers look at their 4x ROAS on Meta or Google and assume they are profitable. However, after COGS, shipping, and payment fees, they

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Actual performance

Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

Analyze your own launch →
Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
56%56% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: google · Missing: mac, agents, macos
49%49% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
48%48% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Strong signals: google, profitable · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
41%41% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
28%28% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Strong signals: profit, profitable · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
22%22% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
16%16% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Incorrect prediction on native model

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