Abstract

Abstract

Indie Hackers

Newsletter on the science of startups

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Actual performance

Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

Analyze your own launch →
BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
69%69% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: new · Missing: mac, agents, macos
44%44% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
44%44% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
42%42% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
34%34% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
29%29% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
14%14% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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