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How a Few Guys Over-Engineered an AppStore Indie Game Success

Hacker News

How a Few Guys Over-Engineered an AppStore Indie Game Success

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Actual performance

7points
1comments
Made the leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
65%65% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
46%46% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Strong signals: apps · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
37%37% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
24%24% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
19%19% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: apps · Missing: mac, agents, macos
15%15% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
14%14% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Incorrect prediction on native model

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