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Google I/O 2014 Guessing Game

Hacker News

Google I/O 2014 Guessing Game

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Actual performance

1points
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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TrustMRRFits verified-revenue profile · Strong signals: google · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
73%73% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
69%69% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: google · Missing: mac, agents, macos
47%47% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
41%41% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
41%41% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
31%31% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
17%17% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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