A bespoke betting exchange

Hacker News

This has been my side project: a betting exchange that allows for bespoke bets and odds setting. The betting exchange format has really caught on in Europe as it enables users to trade a market (by backing or laying a specific outcome). I'm hoping this is interesting for people who like to 'make markets' on events (basically challenge friends/colleagues to make odds on events that are relevant to them). This is a MVP, so no real money/BTC functionality.

Visit product View on Hacker NewsJul 27, 2013

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Actual performance

3points

Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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TrustMRRFits verified-revenue profile · Strong signals: users · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal

57%57% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.

AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Strong signals: users · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive

44%44% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting

36%36% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Strong signals: ide, io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released

30%30% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.

Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: user · Missing: mac, agents, macos

28%28% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue

14%14% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto

3%3% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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