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Lessons Learned From Selling Non-Existent Products (Vaporware)

Hacker News

Lessons Learned From Selling Non-Existent Products (Vaporware)

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Actual performance

2points
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
60%60% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Strong signals: exist · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
50%50% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
48%48% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
44%44% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
33%33% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
31%31% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
17%17% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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