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8 million downloads after one year on the App Store

Hacker News

8 million downloads after one year on the App Store

Tiny Piano recently reached its 8 millionth download. Here's my analysis & experience with indie iOS development/marketing. http://blog.squarepoet.com/post/44099054060/one-year-on-the-app-store

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Actual performance

18points
17comments
Made the leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Strong signals: ios · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
67%67% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Strong signals: io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
54%54% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: tiny · Missing: mac, agents, macos
44%44% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Strong signals: ios · Missing: mobile apps, personal, entrepreneurs
39%39% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
28%28% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
28%28% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
11%11% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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