Pe

Pelican-bicycle alternatives

Hacker News

Pelican-bicycle alternatives

In November and December 2025, inspired by Simon Willison’s pelican-riding-a-bicycle benchmark, I had some then-current LLMs create SVGs from thirty similar prompts, such as “Generate an SVG of an octopus operating a pipe organ.” Simon mentioned that experiment on his blog [1]. Nine months have passed and much stronger models have been released, so I tried the experiment again today. The linked site shows the results. Running ten of the prompts through six models at OpenRouter cost about twenty dollars, so I stopped there for now. [1] https://simonwillison.net/2025/Nov/25/

Share card

Actual performance

89points
38comments
Made the leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

Analyze your own launch →
Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Strong signals: pipe, io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
64%64% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: model, models, open · Missing: mac, agents, macos
61%61% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
57%57% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
44%44% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Strong signals: month · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
42%42% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
25%25% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
9%9% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

Similar products

Si
SixPack – Weighted Alternatives allocation55%Launch Intel prediction score: how likely this product is to succeed on its source platform, based on its name, tagline, and description.

SixPack – Weighted Alternatives allocation

Hacker News1
Ws
Wsgrok – one of many ngrok alternatives68%Launch Intel prediction score: how likely this product is to succeed on its source platform, based on its name, tagline, and description.

Wsgrok – one of many ngrok alternatives

Hacker News6
AlterBase
AlterBase60%Launch Intel prediction score: how likely this product is to succeed on its source platform, based on its name, tagline, and description.

Find better alternatives

Product Hunt+189SaaS
To
Tool to find product alternatives when nomading53%Launch Intel prediction score: how likely this product is to succeed on its source platform, based on its name, tagline, and description.

Tool to find product alternatives when nomading

Hacker News1
SimileTo
SimileTo53%Launch Intel prediction score: how likely this product is to succeed on its source platform, based on its name, tagline, and description.

Find Best Software Alternatives

Indie Hackers1community
Sc
Screpy SEO Tool Alternatives 202037%Launch Intel prediction score: how likely this product is to succeed on its source platform, based on its name, tagline, and description.

Screpy SEO Tool Alternatives 2020

Hacker News1
al
alternatives for colors and faker46%Launch Intel prediction score: how likely this product is to succeed on its source platform, based on its name, tagline, and description.

alternatives for colors and faker

Hacker News1
Fi
Five promising Evernote alternatives55%Launch Intel prediction score: how likely this product is to succeed on its source platform, based on its name, tagline, and description.

Five promising Evernote alternatives

Hacker News2
TopAlternativesTo
TopAlternativesTo28%Launch Intel prediction score: how likely this product is to succeed on its source platform, based on its name, tagline, and description.

Software alternatives with checked pricing

Indie Hackers1ai
Cr
Crowdsourced product alternatives and recommendations45%Launch Intel prediction score: how likely this product is to succeed on its source platform, based on its name, tagline, and description.

Crowdsourced product alternatives and recommendations

Hacker News2