Pr

Probability calibration that doesn't flatten your scores

Hacker News

Probability calibration that doesn't flatten your scores

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Actual performance

2points
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

Analyze your own launch →
BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
61%61% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
47%47% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
38%38% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Strong signals: io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
36%36% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
36%36% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
20%20% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
17%17% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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