Ca

CakeML-based self-verifying, self-improving system

Hacker News

CakeML-based self-verifying, self-improving system

based on a conversation I had with Ramana Kumar in 2016.

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Actual performance

4points
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

Analyze your own launch →
BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
76%76% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Strong signals: io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
58%58% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
49%49% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
43%43% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
41%41% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
27%27% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
20%20% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Incorrect prediction on native model

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