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Startup Equity Adventure Game

Hacker News

Startup Equity Adventure Game

I put this together (with Claude) as a semi-gamified way for folks to learn about startup equity. Take a look, and share your scorecard :)

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Actual performance

36points
25comments
Made the leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

Analyze your own launch →
Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: claude · Missing: mac, agents, macos
72%72% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
53%53% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Strong signals: way · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
44%44% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
42%42% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
35%35% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
22%22% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
16%16% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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