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Bored, so I graphed 2M Telegram users by their gifts

Hacker News

Bored, so I graphed 2M Telegram users by their gifts

Telegram added gifts last year. Almost every gifts is shown on profile. Anyone can map a graph by follow gift sender to recipient to their gifts and so on. I used telethon and psql for this. Scraping speed per one account - 8k/hour

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Actual performance

4points
2comments
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
55%55% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
42%42% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: user · Missing: mac, agents, macos
39%39% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Strong signals: users · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
35%35% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Strong signals: users · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
33%33% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
33%33% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
24%24% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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