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Viral Potential Predictor

Hacker News

Viral Potential Predictor

Hey HN, We analyzed 4,010,957 Hacker News submissions to find what actually makes posts perform well. Key findings: - 93.2% of posts never hit 50 points - Top 1% starts at 270 points - Certain keywords boost engagement by 1000%+ Built a free tool that scores your launch title and predicts viral potential: [link] The entire 4M post dataset is available as a single 700MB .mv2 file if you want to run your own analysis.

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Actual performance

34points
17comments
Made the leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

Analyze your own launch →
Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
58%58% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
41%41% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: new, single · Missing: mac, agents, macos
39%39% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Strong signals: hacker news, 000, io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
37%37% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
28%28% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
19%19% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
2%2% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Incorrect prediction on native model

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