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the6pct : a tool to help you track weekly growth based on PG's essay

Hacker News

the6pct : a tool to help you track weekly growth based on PG's essay

Built this as a quickie to help me apply the method outlined in PG's Startup = Growth essay.

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Actual performance

18points
22comments
Made the leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
41%41% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
39%39% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
38%38% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
30%30% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
26%26% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Strong signals: growth · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
20%20% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
2%2% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Incorrect prediction on native model

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