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Estimating startup viability using Nobel Prize economics
Hacker NewsEstimating startup viability using Nobel Prize economics
I built and shared a start up viability calculator on my blog. This is a huge and nuanced area but I thought I'd start to take a look at it by building something simple. Any feedback welcome - all lessons learned are good!
Share cardActual performance
1points
Did not reach leaderboard
Launch Intel predictions
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Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting56%56% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive42%42% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released42%42% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: using · Missing: mac, agents, macos41%41% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal33%33% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue16%16% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto1%1% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Correct prediction on native model
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