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Explaining Bundesliga predictions for the start of the season

Hacker News

Explaining Bundesliga predictions for the start of the season

Hi, we build a small ML model with data from the past 15 years to predict the outcomes of the first Bundesliga matches. We used explainable AI to visualize how these predictions were made. Let us know what you think. Edit: don't bet or gamble, we build this for curiosity, not to push unethical businesses!

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Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: model, visual, plain · Missing: mac, agents, macos
66%66% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Strong signals: ios · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
51%51% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Strong signals: ios, visualize · Missing: mobile apps, personal, entrepreneurs
49%49% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Strong signals: io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
48%48% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
24%24% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
20%20% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
7%7% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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