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October Surprise (A Short Story)

Hacker News

October Surprise (A Short Story)

The last time I felt as compelled to write something as I did with this piece, it got mentioned in a George Gilder book. Not banking on the same level of success for this one, but I'm happy with how it came together and would love to hear people's thoughts (especially this audience)

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Actual performance

2points
2comments
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
68%68% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
40%40% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
38%38% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
32%32% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Strong signals: io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
30%30% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
18%18% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
3%3% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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