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Trying to identify next emerging trends for affiliate products

Hacker News

Trying to identify next emerging trends for affiliate products

I gathered several months worth of product sales data from the biggest affiliate networks, and used it to train a model to spot similar emerging trends for newer and unsaturated products. I've already had some winners and good predictions, but a few misses as well, hopefully the algorithm will get better as I feed it more historical data.

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Actual performance

2points
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
83%83% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: model, new · Missing: mac, agents, macos
79%79% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Strong signals: month · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
42%42% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Strong signals: ide, io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
38%38% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
34%34% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
15%15% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
13%13% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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