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How to Get Lucky – On Purpose
Hacker NewsHow to Get Lucky – On Purpose
6 principles that I use to get “lucky” over & over: 1. Maximize shots on goal 2. Default to open 3. Be genuinely interested 4. Communicate effectively 5. Play infinite games 6. Embrace feedback Out of the 40+ talks I've given, I think this is my best one. Quote from one attendee months later: “This talk had a lasting effect on how I approach my life.”
Share cardActual performance
1points
1comments
Did not reach leaderboard
Launch Intel predictions
Analyze your own launch →Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Missing: https docs, excited, just released55%55% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
TrustMRRFits verified-revenue profile · Strong signals: month · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal54%54% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: open · Missing: mac, agents, macos51%51% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Strong signals: maximize · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting30%30% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive30%30% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue20%20% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto9%9% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Incorrect prediction on native model
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