I

I made a news site built on prediction markets

Hacker News

I made a news site built on prediction markets

Goal is to be kinda like The Economist meets Metaculus Just a quick MVP, would love to hear any feedback

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Actual performance

9points
9comments
Made the leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
49%49% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: new · Missing: mac, agents, macos
49%49% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
36%36% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
35%35% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Strong signals: io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
31%31% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
17%17% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
1%1% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Incorrect prediction on native model

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