Launch Intel
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Ask Paul Graham

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Ask Paul Graham

Visit productView on Hacker NewsMar 24, 2023
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Launch Intel predictions

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BetaListSuited for BetaList early-adopters · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
95%95% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
59%59% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
53%53% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
49%49% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
34%34% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
20%20% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
16%16% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Incorrect prediction on native model

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