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A Book on Probability Using Lemur-Based Illustrations

Hacker News

A Book on Probability Using Lemur-Based Illustrations

I'm an independent author writing a book to try to make probability easier to understand by starting from primitives and working up (e.g. So easy a lemur can understand it!). I'm Looking for feedback! The link includes a free code for HackerNews users.

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Indie HackersFits the IH revenue-focused audience · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
72%72% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsStrong engagement from HN community · Strong signals: io · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
67%67% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: user, new, using · Missing: mac, agents, macos
51%51% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Strong signals: users · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
38%38% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Strong signals: users · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
28%28% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
15%15% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
1%1% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Incorrect prediction on native model

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