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Returning users log in – a 540-person UX research case study

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Returning users log in – a 540-person UX research case study

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Actual performance

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Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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TrustMRRFits verified-revenue profile · Strong signals: users · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
53%53% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Strong signals: users · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
42%42% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
36%36% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Strong signals: user · Missing: mac, agents, macos
32%32% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
17%17% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
13%13% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
13%13% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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