I

I wrote a polling simulator to help understand political polls

Hacker News

I wrote a polling simulator to help understand political polls

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Actual performance

2points
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

Analyze your own launch →
Product HuntUnlikely to reach the leaderboard · Missing: mac, agents, macos
44%44% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
41%41% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
30%30% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
30%30% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
18%18% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
15%15% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
12%12% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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