A

A state-of-the-art statistical model of skill and game outcomes

Hacker News

A state-of-the-art statistical model of skill and game outcomes

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Actual performance

1points
1comments
Did not reach leaderboard

Launch Intel predictions

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Product HuntOn track for Day 1 leaderboard · Strong signals: model · Missing: mac, agents, macos
58%58% predicted probability of success on Product Hunt, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
best fitHighest predicted score across all platforms for this description.
BetaListMay not resonate with beta-testers · Missing: web3, chat, crypto
48%48% predicted probability of success on BetaList, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
TrustMRRLess likely to generate early MRR · Missing: mobile apps, ios, personal
44%44% predicted probability of success on TrustMRR, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Indie HackersIH features products with proven revenue · Missing: supports, reddit linkedin, podcasting
39%39% predicted probability of success on Indie Hackers, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
AppSumoMay struggle as an AppSumo deal · Missing: plus, platform, intuitive
32%32% predicted probability of success on AppSumo, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
Hacker NewsMay not resonate with HN audience · Missing: https docs, excited, just released
28%28% predicted probability of success on Hacker News, based on ML models trained on real launch data.
nativeThis product was originally launched on this platform.
Acquire.comPre-revenue stage for this audience · Missing: arr, mrr, revenue
14%14% predicted probability of success on Acquire.com, based on ML models trained on real launch data.

Correct prediction on native model

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